Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 21.325694 24.178919 27.292448 30.945538 35.118574 39.741851 45.259210
2025-01-26 17.308263 21.240188 25.899598 31.842977 39.244213 48.185314 59.848425
2025-02-02 14.863260 19.460246 25.289551 33.258549 43.924128 57.782852 77.281228
2025-02-09 12.771185 17.649352 24.195989 33.683866 47.183458 65.851631 93.884921
2025-02-16 10.869939 15.728077 22.570719 32.997243 48.636638 71.464845 107.754045
2025-02-23 9.435505 14.215935 21.242542 32.436237 50.035675 76.999734 122.122486
2025-03-02 8.324532 13.006148 20.156981 32.016323 51.477500 82.642170 137.312938
2025-03-09 7.503359 12.121160 19.428485 32.006965 53.485076 89.328026 155.048467
2025-03-16 6.794150 11.317883 18.713654 31.890724 55.237405 95.727180 173.110240
2025-03-23 6.420546 11.017947 18.775380 33.067822 59.319970 106.597683 200.716471
2025-03-30 5.924865 10.446575 18.299767 33.220278 61.550382 114.378091 223.603145
2025-04-06 5.334813 9.640431 17.317232 32.317441 61.676810 118.202540 239.224998
2025-04-13 4.861848 9.010236 16.608919 31.891980 62.758835 124.190917 260.587393
2025-04-20 4.635615 8.816673 16.690869 33.008171 67.053525 137.188842 298.933473
2025-04-27 4.477463 8.735000 16.974761 34.559180 72.446398 153.209882 346.637112
2025-05-04 4.213417 8.414431 16.751757 35.035170 75.620931 164.934394 386.530389
2025-05-11 3.857808 7.869954 16.016894 34.332552 76.116218 170.794819 413.484549
2025-05-18 3.551754 7.395736 15.375652 33.752768 76.803290 177.169060 442.758563
2025-05-25 3.289573 6.987156 14.829405 33.316923 77.759946 184.294729 475.149339
2025-06-01 3.087709 6.688276 14.488346 33.308001 79.727059 194.127707 516.367444
2025-06-08 2.895367 6.390835 14.119095 33.187104 81.401017 203.460885 557.875584
2025-06-15 2.816252 6.340638 14.302018 34.414960 86.626653 222.635131 630.547453
2025-06-22 2.668931 6.118182 14.063667 34.574038 89.114301 234.957830 685.599555